So is there any validity at all to his moon-based methods, or is it just lunacy? It said: "On 14th November and a couple of days either side of that date, watch for a major earthquake, and quite possible in South pacific area.". David Winter, an evolutionary genetics PhD student at the University of Otago who has taken on Ken Ring before, thinks not. For days that combine several factors of new moon/perigee etc, he missed out on several predictions and nothing unusual happened on those days. Geologists don’t appear to be spooked by Mr Ring’s predictions. Ferries are running, Air NZ will distance passengers, bus company InterCity has cancelled all trips until May 29, and all long-distance tourist rail will remain shut down. The New Zealander has singled out specific periods which, he asserts, may experience the finest conditions; plus, he also marks his cards for periods of significant weather breaks. CREDIT: SUPPLIED. Ring has been a well-known fixture in New Zealand for some time now, and also flew to fame off the back of disaster. Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. "Moon man" Ken Ring has been claiming he can predict earthquakes for years but he recently took a step out of the limelight and isn't doing any media interviews. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity. In the prolonged drought of 1862, Jupiter and Saturn lined up on one side of the sun in that year. US-based Dutchsinse - real name Michael Yuri Janitch - says he has created a formula to predict the location and magnitude of earthquakes. However, experts say Gray's November 14 prediction wasn't really a prediction. Ken Ring is a writer from Auckland, New Zealand, who asserts that he can use lunar cycles to predict weather and earthquakes. Dr Mark Quigley, senior lecturer in active tectonics and geomorphology at Canterbury University, says Mr Ring’s March 20 warning is “opportunistic and meaningless self-promotion during a time of national crisis”. It seems proven ken ring earthquake predictions 2019 april 1 2017 gmc nonetheless its new deluxe crossovers and the most popular sierra 1500 pickup drive the restrictions of its utilitarian image 2019 gmc sierra 2500 hd rumor and release date 2019 GMC Sierra Denali Off-Road Review: Is It Luxurious. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict March 2012 weather bomb that hit much of the lower North Island. Ring, who predicted the deadly Christchurch earthquake and Ireland’s arctic winter in 2010, also forecast the country’s record-breaking July heat wave with uncanny accuracy back in January. According to GNS Science’s online earthquake record, that hour was one of five that day there were no quakes at all. He said he was just trying to prepare people for the earthquake he believed would strike. This message was followed by the prediction about the earthquake: In 3 to 4.. the earthquake is coming.. soon.. its big. The Missouri man now has 185,000 subscribers to his YouTube channel, as well as multiple Facebook pages and a website dedicated to his predictions. Includes snow diaries, significant events, fishing calendar, gardening guide, earthquake diary, all instantly downloadable. Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Mr Ring’s other Twitter predictions don’t get much better. “Within 500kms” reaches as far up the North Island as Hamilton. The 55-year-old claimed the supermoon made a large earthquake a possibility. Premium Auckland Wellington Christchurch. So-called Moon Man Ken Ring is backing away from his prediction that Christchurch will be whacked by a huge earthquake today. 3 News. Gray did not respond to requests for comment. Ken Ring – genius ahead of his time or a complete fraud? Ristau said it took a lot of training and experience to understand earthquakes. While Gray has become a popular character among those who favour alternative theories, he doesn't have any qualifications in the field of seismology, or related scientific fields. 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GeoNet seismologist John Ristau said large earthquakes regularly struck in the South Pacific. KEN RING’S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ If what Ken Ring says is true, the forecast catch includes Taupo and Auckland, which will affect the Waikato River, expecting 14 Dams within this catchment to collapse, which will flood out lowlands of Hamilton – Ngaruawahia – Huntly between 17-22 March 2011, and a month following this. Ring claims he predicted the Christchurch 2011 quake. “Even if the moon is sometimes the straw that breaks the camels back at a particular fault, you couldn’t use the moon to predict an earthquake unless you already new a fault was about to go,” says Mr Winter, “i.e the moon could only predict earthquakes when you could already predict an earthquake.” 9.7K likes. In the year after the M7.8 Kaikōura earthquake there were over 20,000 aftershocks. Does the fact Canterbury shook again five and a half months later prove his methods are correct? Science writer and former NZ Skeptics chair Vicki Hyde said Ring's background was quite common for someone who claimed to be able to predict future events based on trends or patterns they believe others have missed. "There are repercussions for shouting 'fire' in a crowded cinema.". He acknowledges some research has shown small correlations between tides and “smaller, shallower continental earthquakes and ‘solid earth tides’,” but that, “typical earthquake-induced stress changes are about 100 to 1000 times greater than those induced by the tides”. On October 21, Frankie MacDonald of Nova Scotia, Canada, uploaded a video to YouTube called 'Massive Earthquake to Hit New Zealand Anytime Soon'. He is a painter decorator, who is an owner and director of two businesses - Quality Painters Company and Prosperity Acquisitions, according to Companies Office records. Moon man Ken Ring has been forced into hiding after receiving death threats. Britain's Craig Hamilton-Parker says Aotearoa can expect a "serious earthquake" in 2018, which he believes will be part of "a general increase in seismic activity worldwide" next year. Before he was a self-appointed weather forecaster and earthquake predictor, Ring was a maths teacher and later became an educational magician, known as Mathman. May will see the last of winter frosts and some fine weather but cool" - Ken Ring reveals his weather predictions for 2019. "This is just a possibility, but be alert, that is all I am saying.". How far in advance? It seems proven ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 We’ve implemented maximum level security measures to protect news 2019 Nissan Qashqai Concept 2019 Nissan Qashqai Concept 2019 Nissan nissan qashqai black edition 4 2018 2019 best cars reviews 2018 2019 best cars reviews Nissan Qashqai 2019 Nissan Qashqai.. The furore over John Campbell’s interview with earthquake predictor Ken Ring this week really exposed a strong anti-science vein running through New Zealand that even we here at Sciblogs, seasoned from hand to hand combat with the anti-vax lobby, homeopaths and evolution deniers were surprised at. Exactly the same format of what the books used to comprise. Ring publishes almanacs each year for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland in which he provides weather predictions for the entire year. He did not tweet or write anything on his website about the possibility of a quake in Japan beforehand, despite his claim they can be predicted far in advance. Thursday, 03 December 2020. ... in the UK, tornados, extreme weather events around the world and stronger activity in the Pacific Ocean around the Ring of Fire. According to his Facebook page, Ring has been unwell recently and is taking some time off. I had a visual of a bird with overgrown feet/legs and a large beak. nzherald.co.nz. He also uses his Spiritual Awareness Facebook page to plug a fuel saving product he sells in New Zealand, called Clean Turbo. Many of his supporters would argue Mr Ring, who prefers to call his predictions “opinions”, is only warning of elevated risks – but do they stack up against the evidence? Ireland is on the eastern edge of this antic… Predictions on 11-8-15 New Zealand Earthquake Spirit what prediction is coming next? "Once a series of five or ten predictions have proved to have been accurate, with no failed predictions, only then would we recommend that the person goes public with their ability. With his dubious track record though, one could hope he singles out popular doomsday date December 21, 2012 for his next ‘prediction’. "There's actually no way humans could set off earthquakes like that," Ristau said. "If you make enough predictions, eventually you're going to get lucky," he said. "Unfortunately Gray believes in so many different ideas that are not only far fetched but at times also contradict each other, it's hard to work out how the dots connect.". “Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Predictions 7-7-17 Earthquake.. New Zealand.. between the two land masses… destructive. CREDIT: FACEBOOK. “Frankly, what Mr Ring is doing is no better than people crying fire without cause in a packed stadium or picture theatre.” Mr Winter weakens Mr Ring’s theory further with a graph showing the total strength of quakes recorded each day between September 4 and February 22, matched with the moon’s monthly phases. It was not unusual to see people like Ring or Gray come out of the woodwork when an event like the Christchurch or Kaikoura earthquake happened. TOP DEBATE: Have your say… He’s a regular contributor to the comments section at WeatherWatch.co.nz and Ken Ring of www.predictweather.com often causes controversy when he talks of his predictions.. WeatherWatch.co.nz wanted to find out more about the man behind the moon….so presented him with 10 questions for him to answer for our readers. Dr John Beaven, crustal dynamics geophysicist at GNS Science says: “A simple analysis… of aftershock occurrence and the phase and distance of the moon shows that there is no obvious correlation between these parameters and the occurrence of large aftershocks.” So who are these men who claim to do what the world's top scientists cannot? He’s further pinpointed April 18 and the year 2020 as future earthquake dates. Sunshine totals may be below normal, except in the south and south-west. Thousands of people fled the city in fear. READ MORE: * Earthquake: there's no evidence the moon causes quakes * Why quakes weren't caused by seismic blasting or 'unzipping' faultline. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity… Should we evacuate an area every time the moon is on its closest approach, is full or new, is moving rapidly, is at its maximum declination or is crossing the equator?” … On Mr Ring’s site, apart from the headline, his February prediction only mentions a quake is “sure to be somewhere in the ‘Ring of Fire’, where 80 percent of all major earthquakes seem to occur”, and if it is in New Zealand, could be “within 500km of the Alpine Fault”. In the end the parallels between the shonky earthquake predictor who terrified the US Midwest in 1990 and Ken Ring currently putting a ring around March 20 on his calendar are incredibly strong. True love :) little miss Wednesday loves to be carried by her BFF, A photo posted by michael janitch (@dutchsinse) on Aug 8, 2015 at 3:09pm PDT. So far for 2020 there have been 2687 aftershocks located. He found a slight effect of the moon’s distance from Earth in the region of 2 percent – enough to very slightly affect the potential strength of a quake, but not cause one. When the November 14 quake struck Kaikoura, Gray shot to notoriety. Mr Ring has a Twitter account where he posts some of his predictions. Meanwhile when ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 It looks and sounds … Gray first stumbled into the world of earthquake predictions via his interest in geo-engineering and weather modification. While Gray's painting business appears to be his main source of income, he also offers services as a "life improvement consultant". Starting at the top, Sir Peter Gluckman, chief science adviser to the Prime Minister has rubbished Mr Ring’s claims. Ring believes that around mid-June, temperatures will fall mostly below normal with several nights of ground frosts during the third week. Well, after March 20, according to Mr Ring, it won’t be over. 7:02 The 25 will be lost to this. Headlines that preceded the predicted December 1990 earthquake As one commenter on … 3 News weather presenter Mike Hall reported that evening it was a “springtime Sunday well worthy of summer”, and Auckland was going to have “another fine and warm one” the following day. Long-range weather forecaster Ken Ring has shared his distinctive predictions for the coming summer months across the country. It seems as good an indicator as any nothing will happen. Gray went from about 600 followers on his Weather Modification Facebook page before the quake, to more than 6000. Ken Ring offers services for farmers, councils or corporates, weather for a family reunion or a single forecast week to week. He went on to say he had "strong evidence" to suggest the Kaikoura earthquake was "deliberately caused" and there was a plan to create another devastating earthquake using "electromagnetic frequencies" off the East Coast and Cook Strait. If you're wondering, the book's called Pawmistry and can be purchased on Amazon for 1 cent. Moon Man Ken Ring, who has predicted a large earthquake in Christchurch next Sunday, is refusing to comment on a "non-event" gathering planned in the city. Psychic Predictions for 2020, World Psychic Predictions By Leading Australian Psychic Medium Vine. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict the extreme weather event which struck Hobsonville, Auckland on Dec 6th, 2012. Campbell said he believed Ring was causing unnecessary fear, when the people of Christchurch had been through enough. Mr Ring, a fishing commentator, has become a source of heated debate in New Zealand in recent weeks due to his earthquake predictions, which are … He’s become a household name in New Zealand. The colours on this map indicate the likely severity of shaking in different areas – in technical terms, the ground motion which has a 10% chance of occurring within 50 years. But not all – there was no mention of the September 4 quake until September 8, when he said there would be another “coming in six months”. Gray caused another stir by predicting a shake would hit on or about December 13. During a TV interview about his predictions, broadcaster John Campbell yelled at Ring. 25/08/2020 2021 NZ Weather Almanac Comprises 346 pages of rain maps, frost and snow, max+min temps, summaries, tables. People who claim to be able to predict earthquakes are not unique to New Zealand. "Occasionally people will get lucky with a single prediction, but if someone can reliably and accurately predict future events then there's a chance they're onto something," he said. Many people have emailed 3 News and written comments mentioning Galileo, and how his ultimately true idea the Earth went around the Sun, and not the other way around, was rejected by the establishment at the time. Let’s start with the establishment – in particular, the Government. It’s not often such extravagant claims are made in the mainstream, let alone get the following Mr Ring has corralled in recent weeks. Gray during one of his seminars. He says he is able to predict the weather based on the trends and cycles of moon orbits. If what Ken Ring says is true, the forecast catch includes Taupo and Auckland, which will affect the … To put things into perspective: The Kaikoura quake released 2600 times as much energy as every nuclear weapon ever detonated. Instead he posted on Facebook as to why he would not be interviewed by mainstream media. “There’s no added risk of a quake on March 20 or any other day, and I think people do not realise the disharmony and the discomfort that is being given to a lot of people in the Christchurch regions by [predictions],” he said yesterday. In fact, it was Galileo that developed much of what we now call the ‘scientific method’. New Zealand will drop down into alert level 2 at midnight, freeing up restrictions on what you can do and where you can go from tomorrow. Long-range Kiwi weather guru - Ken Ring - is predicting that snow will arrive in Ireland after Christmas and into January - the last part of which is dry and freezing. Some parts of New Zealand are more likely to experience severe earthquakes than others. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. Weak frontal systems will bring cloud and patchy light rain at times. ACC Minister Nick Smith has a PhD in geotechnical engineering and a background in landslides and earthquake engineering. Gary's posted pictures of himself online, and on his consultancy website, with a bookcase full of scientology materials, worth thousands of dollars. The techniques Gray used in his life improvement seminars are based on Scientology. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. The Alpine Fault runs almost the entire length of the South Island. Ristau said in his opinion there was "no credibility" in linking moon or lunar phases to earthquakes. "You've got to be open-minded but you've got to be careful it's not so open your brain falls out," she said. Provided the input are correct, the output is damning – there is no correlation. On his personal Facebook pages he had posted articles about conspiracies ranging from topics such as chemtrails (spraying of chemicals from commercial airliners), fluoride, 1080 and glyphosate, through to "wacky ideas" such as the moon landings being faked and Michelle Obama being born a man, Honeychurch said. While Gray may be the newest kid on the block, he's not the first Kiwi to claim he can predict earthquakes. According to Geonet, the strongest shake Christchurch had that day measured 3.8 – less than one they had just yesterday – 4.0 – which Mr Ring didn’t predict. Read Vine's Prediction Here: Psychic Prediction about Earthquakes and Extreme Weather. He then predicted another big quake would strike on March 20. 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